Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 4.176310 4.479870 4.805543 5.182819 5.610265 6.082436 6.647539
2025-08-31 3.733621 4.159428 4.646025 5.250843 5.993574 6.891484 8.084667
2025-09-07 3.440402 3.923980 4.499192 5.248298 6.221225 7.478092 9.291576
2025-09-14 3.144139 3.641890 4.249968 5.067591 6.172487 7.671396 9.976919
2025-09-21 2.934130 3.442351 4.077224 4.954493 6.181939 7.922479 10.766512
2025-09-28 2.778353 3.296315 3.956243 4.890832 6.241068 8.237936 11.702104
2025-10-05 2.679444 3.214450 3.909662 4.919147 6.427021 8.759763 13.087085
2025-10-12 2.611708 3.167337 3.903495 4.999562 6.693704 9.442594 14.936082
2025-10-19 2.550255 3.123535 3.896748 5.075285 6.957460 10.158709 17.071545
2025-10-26 2.481403 3.064839 3.863857 5.106785 7.150250 10.778831 19.221686
2025-11-02 2.401182 2.985730 3.796155 5.077915 7.236552 11.212897 21.103031
2025-11-09 2.293760 2.863543 3.659299 4.930482 7.102944 11.197116 21.828285
2025-11-16 2.205650 2.768931 3.563728 4.851448 7.098922 11.477937 23.614811
2025-11-23 2.160187 2.733456 3.554330 4.911813 7.355634 12.363931 27.777138
2025-11-30 2.102546 2.677240 3.509824 4.909549 7.494287 13.022652 31.727548
2025-12-07 2.009791 2.565997 3.375847 4.747093 7.307595 12.889779 32.634739
2025-12-14 1.937920 2.482707 3.281037 4.645233 7.229640 13.007519 34.721806
2025-12-21 1.881399 2.419850 3.214789 4.587833 7.233769 13.331022 38.064457
2025-12-28 1.847551 2.389205 3.197089 4.613368 7.408820 14.137495 44.831962
2026-01-04 1.826051 2.375977 3.205841 4.685840 7.690573 15.315994 55.990593
2026-01-11 1.804682 2.361917 3.212231 4.754018 7.972101 16.591010 71.544957
2026-01-18 1.776268 2.335917 3.197813 4.782359 8.168428 17.676793 90.033733
2026-01-25 1.738667 2.294436 3.156108 4.756384 8.236402 18.368550 108.059019